NOAA Space Weather Scales
The NOAA Space Weather Scales were introduced as a way to communicate to the
general public the current and future space weather conditions and their
possible effects on people and systems. Many of the SEC products describe the
space environment, but few have described the effects that can be experienced as
the result of environmental disturbances. These scales will be useful to users
of our products and those who are interested in space weather effects. The
scales describe the environmental disturbances for three event types:
geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, and radio blackouts. The scales have
numbered levels, analogous to hurricanes, tornadoes, and earthquakes that convey
severity. They list possible effects at each level. They also show how often
such events happen, and give a measure of the intensity of the physical causes.
The three Space Weather Scales are listed below.
NOAA Space Weather Scale for Geomagnetic
Storms
Category |
Effect |
Physical measure |
Average Frequency (1 cycle = 11 years)
|
Scale |
Descriptor |
Some or all of these effects are possible |
|
|
Geomagnetic Storms |
Kp values* determined every 3 hours |
Number of storm events when Kp level was met; (number of storm
days) |
G 5 |
Extreme |
Power systems: grid systems can
collapse and transformers experience damage.
Spacecraft operations: extensive surface charging, problems with orientation,
uplink/downlink, and tracking satellites.
Other systems:
pipeline currents reach hundreds of amps, HF (high frequency) radio
propagation impossible in many areas for one to two days, satellite
navigation degraded for days, low-frequency radio navigation out for
hours, and the aurora seen as low as the equator. |
Kp = 9 |
4 per cycle (4 days per cycle) |
G 4 |
Severe |
Power systems: possible voltage
stability problems, portions of grids collapse and protective devices
trip.
Spacecraft operations: experience surface charging and tracking
problems, orientation problems need corrections.
Other systems: induced pipeline
currents affect preventive measures, HF radio propagation sporadic,
satellite navigation degraded for hours, low-frequency radio navigation
disrupted, and the aurora seen as low as in the tropics. |
Kp = 8, including a 9- |
100 per cycle (60 days per cycle) |
G 3 |
Strong |
Power systems: voltage corrections
required, false alarms triggered on protection devices, and high
"‘gas-in-oil"’ transformer readings likely.
Spacecraft operations: surface
charging on satellite components, increased drag on satellite, and
orientation problems need corrections.
Other systems: intermittent satellite
navigation and low-frequency radio navigation problems, HF radio
intermittent, and the aurora seen as low as mid-latitudes. |
Kp = 7 |
200 per cycle (130 days per cycle) |
G 2 |
Moderate |
Power systems: high-latitude power
systems affected.
Spacecraft operations: corrective
actions are required by ground control; changes in drag affect orbit
predictions.
Other systems: HF radio propagation fades at higher latitudes,
and the aurora seen as low as 50 degrees. |
Kp = 6 |
600 per cycle (360 days per cycle) |
G 1 |
Minor |
Power systems: weak power grid fluctuations.
Spacecraft operations: minor impact
on satellite operations
Other systems: the aurora seen at high latitudes (60 degrees);
migratory animals begin to be affected. |
Kp = 5 |
1700 per cycle (900 days per
cycle) |
* may change to use other measures, such as DST, as
basis.
NOAA Space Weather Scale for Solar Radiation
Storms
Category |
Effect |
Physical measure |
Average Frequency (1 cycle = 11 years) |
Scale |
Descriptor |
Some or all of these effects are possible |
|
|
Solar Radiation Storms |
Flux level of >10 MeV particles (ions)*
|
Number of events when flux level was met (number of storm
days**) |
S 5 |
Extreme |
Biological: unavoidable, high
radiation hazard to astronauts on EVA (extra-vehicular activity); high
radiation levels to passengers and crew in commercial jets at high
latitudes (approximately 100 chest x-rays).
Satellite operations: loss of some
satellites, memory impacts cause loss of control, serious noise in image
data, star-trackers unable to locate sources; permanent damage to solar
panels.
Other systems: No HF (high frequency)
communications possible in the polar regions, and position errors make
navigation operations extremely difficult. |
105 |
Fewer than 1 per cycle |
S 4 |
Severe |
Biological: unavoidable radiation
hazard to astronauts on EVA; elevated radiation exposure to passengers and
crew in commercial jets at high latitudes (approximately 10 chest
x-rays).
Satellite operations: memory device
problems, noise on imaging systems, star-trackers cause orientation
problems, and solar panels degraded .
Other systems: blackout of HF radio
communications through the polar cap and increased navigation errors over
several days. |
104 |
3 per cycle
|
S 3 |
Strong |
Biological: radiation hazard
avoidance recommended astronauts on EVA; passengers and crew in commercial
jets at high latitudes receive low-level radiation (approximately 1 chest
x-ray).
Satellite operations: likely
single-event upsets, noise in imaging systems, permanent damage to exposed
components/detectors, and decrease of solar panel currents.
Other systems: degraded HF radio
propagation through the polar cap and navigation position errors.
|
103 |
10 per cycle
|
S 2 |
Moderate |
Biological: none.
Satellite operations: infrequent single-event upsets.
Other systems: small effects on HF propagation through the polar
cap and navigation at the polar cap impacted. |
102 |
25 per cycle |
S 1 |
Minor |
Biological: none.
Satellite operations: none.
Other systems: minor impacts on HF
radio in the polar regions. |
10 |
50 per cycle |
* Flux levels are 5 minute averages. Flux in
particles·s-1·ster-1·cm-2 ** These events
can last more than one day.
NOAA Space Weather Scale for Radio Blackouts
Category |
Effect |
Physical measure |
Average Frequency (1 cycle = 11 years) |
Scale |
Descriptor |
Some or all of these effects are possible
|
|
|
Radio Blackouts |
GOES X-ray peak brightness by class (and by
flux*) |
Number of events when flux level was met; (number of storm
days) |
R 5 |
Extreme |
HF Radio: Complete HF (high
frequency) radio blackout on the entire sunlit side of the Earth lasting
for a number of hours. No HF radio contact with mariners or en route
aviators.
Navigation: Low-frequency navigation
signals used by maritime and general aviation systems experience outages
on the sunlit side of the Earth for many hours, causing loss in
positioning. Increased satellite navigation errors in positioning for
several hours on the sunlit side of Earth, which may spread into the night
side. |
X20 (2 x 10-3) |
Less than 1 per cycle
|
R 4 |
Severe |
HF Radio: HF radio communication
blackout for one to two hours on most of the sunlit side of Earth. HF
radio contact lost during this time for mariners and en route aviators.
Navigation: Outages of low-frequency
navigation signals cause increased error in positioning for mariners and
general aviators for one to two hours. Minor disruptions of satellite
navigation possible on the sunlit side of Earth. |
X10 (10-3) |
8 per cycle (8 days per cycle)
|
R 3 |
Strong |
HF Radio: Wide area blackout of HF
radio communication signals, loss of radio contact for mariners and en
route aviators for about an hour on sunlit side of Earth.
Navigation: Low-frequency navigation
signals degraded for about an hour, affecting maritime and general
aviation positioning. |
X1 (10-4) |
175 per cycle (140 days per cycle) |
R 2 |
Moderate |
HF Radio: Limited blackout of HF
radio communication signals on sunlit side, loss of radio contact for tens
of minutes for mariners and en route aviators.
Navigation:
Degradation of low-frequency navigation signals for tens of minutes
affecting maritime and general aviation positioning. |
M5 (5 x 10-5) |
350 per cycle (300 days per cycle) |
R 1 |
Minor |
HF Radio:
Weak or minor degradation of HF radio communication signals on sunlit
side, occasional loss of radio contact for mariners and en route aviators.
Navigation: Low-frequency navigation
signals degraded for brief intervals affecting maritime and general
aviation positioning. |
M1 (10-5) |
2000 per cycle (950 days per
cycle) |
* Flux, measured in the 0.1-0.8 nm range, in
W·m-2.
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